Mexico.- Higher taxes and budget cuts in the United States; deceleration in China; volatility in oil prices and the European Union crisis are all factors that pose “a huge contagion potential for economies and slower growth dynamism for Mexico”, according to Gerardo Gutierrez Candiani, Chairman, Consejo Coordinador Empresarial (CCE) (Business Coordination Council). The Business Sector expects economy will grow 3.7% and 3.4% in the third and fourth quarters, respectively.
However, Gutierrez Candiani said that “no drastic deceleration is expected, because until now the United States keep incipient but stable recovery conditions. However, dynamism will slow down in what is left of the year, in line with a decrease in exports growth posted in the last few months”.
GDP increase forecasts for 2012 close to 4% is kept. “In the first quarter 4.6% year-to-year growth was achieved, and estimates for the second quarter are around 4.2%, so we will keep our original figures”, CCE said in their weekly message.
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